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|data-sort-value="2023-12-13"|9–13 Dec
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|MetroPOLL<ref>{{Cite web |title=Metropoll’ün Aralık 2023 araştımasına göre partilerin oy destekleri ve 14 Mayıs resmi sonuçları. |url=https://twitter.com/ozersencar1/status/1740301676722954718 |website=twitter.com |date=28 December 2023 |access-date=25 March 2024 |language=tr-tr}}</ref>
|MetroPOLL<ref>{{Cite web |title=Metropoll'ün Aralık 2023 araştımasına göre partilerin oy destekleri ve 14 Mayıs resmi sonuçları. |url=https://twitter.com/ozersencar1/status/1740301676722954718 |website=twitter.com |date=28 December 2023 |access-date=25 March 2024 |language=tr-tr}}</ref>
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|data-sort-value="2023-12-01"|28 Nov–1 Dec
|data-sort-value="2023-12-01"|28 Nov–1 Dec
|Areda Survey<ref>{{Cite web |title=İSTANBUL DEĞIŞIYOR, CHP DEĞIŞEMIYOR: TÜRK HALKININ YÜZDE 62,3’Ü ÖZGÜR ÖZEL’IN PARTIYI DEĞIŞTIREMEYECEĞINI DÜŞÜNÜYOR |url=https://www.areda.com/istanbul-degisiyor-chp-degisemiyor-turk-halkinin-yuzde-623u-ozgur-ozelin-partiyi-degistiremeyecegini-dusunuyor/ |website=areda.com |date=19 December 2023 |access-date=25 March 2024 |language=tr-tr}}</ref>
|Areda Survey<ref>{{Cite web |title=İSTANBUL DEĞIŞIYOR, CHP DEĞIŞEMIYOR: TÜRK HALKININ YÜZDE 62,3'Ü ÖZGÜR ÖZEL'IN PARTIYI DEĞIŞTIREMEYECEĞINI DÜŞÜNÜYOR |url=https://www.areda.com/istanbul-degisiyor-chp-degisemiyor-turk-halkinin-yuzde-623u-ozgur-ozelin-partiyi-degistiremeyecegini-dusunuyor/ |website=areda.com |date=19 December 2023 |access-date=25 March 2024 |language=tr-tr}}</ref>
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|data-sort-value="2023-12-13"|9–13 Dec 2023
|data-sort-value="2023-12-13"|9–13 Dec 2023
|MetroPOLL<ref>{{Cite web |title=Metropoll’ün Aralık 2023 araştımasına göre partilerin oy destekleri ve 14 Mayıs resmi sonuçları. |url=https://twitter.com/ozersencar1/status/1740301676722954718 |website=twitter.com |date=28 December 2023 |access-date=25 March 2024 |language=tr-tr}}</ref>
|MetroPOLL<ref>{{Cite web |title=Metropoll'ün Aralık 2023 araştımasına göre partilerin oy destekleri ve 14 Mayıs resmi sonuçları. |url=https://twitter.com/ozersencar1/status/1740301676722954718 |website=twitter.com |date=28 December 2023 |access-date=25 March 2024 |language=tr-tr}}</ref>
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Revision as of 02:19, 27 March 2024

  • Comment: There are no sources which suggest that the subject "Opinion polling for the 2028 Turkish parliamentary election" is a notable subject in 2023. Tagishsimon (talk) 04:18, 22 November 2023 (UTC)
  • Comment: External links need removing from the article body per WP:EL, and yes, that includes the tables... link to the party's article (if exist) instead - RichT|C|E-Mail 01:13, 22 November 2023 (UTC)


In the run up to the 2028 Turkish parliamentary election, various organizations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 14 May 2023, to the present day.

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Graphical summary

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next Turkish general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).

Party vote

2024

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size AKP CHP SP DEVA GP MHP İYİ DEM YRP ZP TİP BBP MP Others Lead
Mar HBS[1] 6,100 34.5 26.1 9.9 7.5 9.3 6.4 3.2 3.0 8.4
20–21 Feb MetroPOLL[2] 1,770 33.2 25.2 8.4 9.2 11.5 5.8 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.3 8.0
Feb HBS[3] 6,100 36.8 24.2 11.0 8.1 9.4 4.2 2.9 3.4 12.6
21–29 Jan ASAL[4] 2,000 34.8 23.2 9.7 8.5 9.4 4.8 3.7 2.1 0.8 3.0 11.6
Jan HBS[5] 6,100 38.0 23.7 8.9 8.6 8.7 4.8 4.1 3.3 14.3
12–15 Jan MetroPOLL[6] 1,565 34.6 25.1 9.0 10.1 10.3 1.9 3.2 1.3 0.6 3.9 9.5
2023 parliamentary election[7] 53,962,770 35.56[a] 25.34[b] 10.05 9.68 8.90[c] 2.80 2.25 1.77[d] 0.97 0.93 1.76 10.22

2023

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size AKP CHP SP DEVA GP MHP İYİ DEM YRP ZP TİP BBP MP Others Lead
28–29 Dec Yöneylem / PolitPro[8] 2,400 33.3 25.2 10.6 5.5 9.4 5.0 4.0 2.2 5.1 8.1
18–24 Dec HBS[9] 6,100 38.4 22.5 9.1 8.3 9.0 4.2 3.8 4.7 15.9
11–16 Dec ORC[10] 3,160 36.9 27.0 11.5 6.2 8.4 2.4 2.8 1.4 1.1 2.3 9.9
9–13 Dec MetroPOLL[11] 2,870 38.3 28.1 0.8 7.0 8.2 10.8 2.0 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.8 10.2
1–2 Dec Yöneylem / PolitPro[12] 2,402 32.8 26.0 10.6 5.5 9.5 4.3 4.5 2.5 4.3 6.8
30 Nov–2 Dec AREA[13] 3,012 34.2 26.1 1.2 10.2 7.2 9.5 2.7 4.6 3.1 1.2 8.1
28 Nov–1 Dec Areda Survey[14] 2,384 39.1 26.0 7.1 8.2 8.5 11.1 13.1
28–30 Nov İvem[15] 3,035 37.0 27.9 2.1 7.0 6.6 9.9 2.4 2.6 1.8 2.7 9.1
14–17 Nov Piar / Adana Medya Haber[16] 2,584 32.0 27.2 15.3 5.0 8.1 4.9 2.6 4.2 2.7 4.8
6–8 Nov Yöneylem / HalkTV[17] 2,400 32.9 24.3 10.0 7.4 9.3 4.1 3.0 4.0 5.0 8.6
5–10 Oct ASAL[18] 2,600 34.5 20.2 12.1 8.0 9.8 3.6 2.7 3.0 1.1 5.0 14.3
Aug HBS[19] 6,100 36.9 23.6 10.7 7.3 8.7 4.4 2.5 2.3 3.7 13.3
7–12 Aug ORC[20] 6,100 32.4 27.0 1.1 1.1 1.3 14.0 7.1 5.9 3.5 2.5 1.9 1.0 1.2 5.4
Jul HBS[21] 5,900 36.5 23.2 10.5 7.6 8.9 4.5 2.4 2.5 3.9 13.3
14–25 Jul ASAL[22] 2,520 33.5 23.7 10.2 9.1 8.4 3.5 2.0 2.2 1.1 1.5 4.8 9.8
6 Jul 2023 Felicity Party and Future Party established Felicity and Future Alliance.[23]
Jun HBS[24] 6,100 38.1 24.5 10.0 8.9 9.6 2.5 2.3 1.4 2.6 13.6
8–10 Jun MetroPOLL[25] 2,113 38.8 25.5 0.3 0.6 0.1 8.3 7.0 9.5 2.9 3.0 2.6 0.5 0.4[e] 13.3
28 May 2023 Nation Alliance dissolved.[26]
2023 parliamentary election[7] 53,962,770 35.56[a] 25.34[b] 10.05 9.68 8.90[c] 2.80 2.25 1.77[d] 0.97 0.93 1.76 10.22

Regional

Adana

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size AKP CHP MHP İYİ DEM TİP ZP YRP BBP MP Others Lead
8–13 Sep 2023 ALF[27] 3,360 28.7 32.4 13.6 7.1 9.7 3.3 2.3 2.9 3.7
2023 parliamentary election[7] 1,425,851 30.86[a] 28.63[b] 11.03 10.75 9.73[c] 2.30[d] 2.10 1.79 0.91 0.78 1.13 2.23

Ankara

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size AKP CHP İYİ MHP ZP DEM YRP BBP TİP MP Others Lead
8–9 Feb 2024 AREA[28] 1,546 32.7 32.2 4.0 10.4 7.1 3.9 6.5 0.7 2.5 0.5
22–23 Jan 2024 AREA[29] 2,006 34.8 34.0 4.1 9.9 6.3 2.7 4.6 2.3 1.3 0.8
Nov 2023 HBS[30] 2,000 37.9 34.7 7.2 7.7 4.0 8.5 3.2
1–8 Nov 2023 ASAL[31] 2,000 39.5 34.4 6.8 8.5 4.0 6.8 5.1
10–19 Oct 2023 ALF[32] 2,500 33.4 32.9 11.8 8.9 2.0 4.4 1.8 1.7 3.0 0.5
14–18 Jul 2023 ASAL[33] 2,074 33.7 32.3 9.5 8.1 2.2 4.9 1.8 1.0 6.5 1.5
8–13 Jul 2023 HBS[34] 3,900 42.4 40.1 5.0 5.1 4.2 3.2 2.3
2023 parliamentary election[7] 3,974,000 32.52[a] 30.55[b] 12.80 10.25 3.33 3.15[c] 2.67 1.26 1.25[d] 0.98 1.25 1.97

Antalya

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size CHP AKP İYİ MHP DEM TİP ZP MP YRP BBP Others Lead
Sep 2023 ASAL[35] 1,764 37.3 34.0 10.6 9.3 2.1 1.2 5.6 3.3
2023 parliamentary election[7] 1,718,557 32.31[b] 29.07[a] 11.31 10.03 4.90[c] 4.55[d] 2.80 1.32 1.26 0.66 1.79 3.24

Eskişehir

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size CHP AKP İYİ MHP ZP DEM TİP YRP MP BBP Others Lead
18 Oct 2023 ALF[36] 1,800 35.7 33.6 12.0 6.5 2.3 3.8 1.4 1.9 2.7 1.9
2023 parliamentary election[7] 635,478 34.05[b] 33.15[a] 13.81 7.31 2.96 2.23[c] 1.66[d] 1.42 1.27 1.10 1.04 0.90

Gümüşhane

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size AKP MHP İYİ CHP YRP ZP BBP DEM MP TİP Others Lead
Dec 2023 HBS[37] 1,500 49.6 27.4 7.1 12.0 3.9 22.2
2023 parliamentary election[7] 80,886 47.41[a] 26.24 18.17[f] 2.66 1.10 0.82 0.62[c] 0.53 0.35[d] 2.09 21.17

Hatay

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size AKP CHP MHP TİP İYİ DEM YRP ZP BBP MP Others Lead
Sep 2023 ASAL[38] 1,874 36.5 34.1 10.0 5.7 8.5 2.4 2.9 2.4
2023 parliamentary election[7] 894,538 33.91[a] 28.38[b] 12.20 8.56[d] 8.02 3.25[c] 1.83 1.32 0.89 0.51 1.13 5.53

Istanbul

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size AKP MHP CHP DEM İYİ TİP YRP ZP MP BBP Others Lead
21–22 Feb 2024 MetroPOLL[39] 1,664 33.1 6.5 31.0 9.9 6.3 1.9 4.6 2.7 1.5 2.5 2.1
Feb 2024 HBS[40] 2,925 42.2 40.7 5.3 5.7 2.1 2.2 1.8 1.5
9–13 Dec 2023 MetroPOLL[41] 1,500 35.9 4.9 29.7 10.1 6.7 1.8 1.6 2.1 3.2 4.0[g] 6.2
Sep 2023 HBS[42] 2,900 40.7 5.4 38.0 5.6 4.5 5.8 2.7
2–9 Jul 2023 ASAL[43] 2,506 40.6 4.5 38.7 5.4 4.3 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.8 1.9
2023 parliamentary election[7] 10,423,250 36.07[a] 6.24 28.33[b] 8.19[c] 8.07 4.04[d] 3.25 2.78 1.00 0.81 1.23 7.74

İzmir

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size CHP AKP İYİ DEM MHP TİP ZP MP YRP BBP Others Lead
15–20 Oct 2023 ALF[44] 2,000 43.5 30.0 8.5 7.6 5.9 1.4 3.0 13.5
2023 parliamentary election[7] 3,144,052 40.89[b] 25.26[a] 11.39 7.54[c] 5.36 2.81[d] 2.33 1.18 0.89 0.46 1.90 15.63

Konya

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size AKP MHP CHP İYİ YRP ZP DEM BBP MP TİP Others Lead
Sep 2023 ASAL[45] 1,246 55.9 11.3 12.5 7.8 3.9 4.2 4.4 43.4
2023 parliamentary election[7] 1,464,705 47.95[a] 14.31 13.68[b] 8.66 5.07 2.93 2.80[c] 2.00 0.89 0.41[d] 1.30 33.64

Samsun

Fieldwork date Polling firm / Published by Sample size AKP CHP MHP İYİ YRP ZP BBP MP TİP DEM Others Lead
Mar 2024 HBS[46] 1,100 50.2 25.3 17.1 5.7 1.7 24.9
2023 parliamentary election[7] 922,027 42.46[a] 19.76[b] 14.24 12.06 3.97 2.15 1.36 1.07 0.71[d] 0.60[c] 1.61 22.70

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Includes HÜDA PAR and DSP running on AKP list.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Includes SP, DEVA, GP, DP and TDP running on CHP list.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Includes HDP, EHP and TÖP running on YSGP list.
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Includes Greens' Party, UİD-DER and İDP running on TİP list.
  5. ^ Free Cause Party – 0.2
  6. ^ Includes CHP, SP, DEVA, GP, DP and TDP running on İYİ list.
  7. ^ Felicity Party – 1.3

References

  1. ^ "Türkiye gündem araştırması. Yüz yüze görüşme". twitter.com (in Turkish). 11 March 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  2. ^ "According to Metropoll's February 2024 research, vote support of parties across Turkey". twitter.com (in Turkish). 6 March 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  3. ^ "ŞUBAT AYI TÜRKİYE GÜNDEM ARAŞTIRMASI". twitter.com (in Turkish). 22 February 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  4. ^ "Bu Pazar bir milletvekili seçimi olsa hangi siyasi partiye oy verirsiniz?". twitter.com (in Turkish). 16 February 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  5. ^ "Aralık ayı Türkiye Gündem Araştırması". twitter.com (in Turkish). 1 February 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  6. ^ "In January 2024, after the voting support of the parties was distributed proportionally to the undecided, it was like a repeat of May 14, 2023". twitter.com (in Turkish). 12 February 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Sandık Sonuçları ve Tutanaklar". sonuc.ysk.gov.tr (in Turkish). Retrieved 2023-11-22.
  8. ^ "Turkey: Poll by Yöneylem from 29.12.2023". politpro.eu (in Turkish). Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  9. ^ "18-24 Aralık Türkiye Gündem Araştırması". twitter.com (in Turkish). 29 December 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  10. ^ "Bu Pazar "Milletvekili Genel Seçimi" olsa, hangi partiye oy verirsiniz?". twitter.com (in Turkish). 18 December 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  11. ^ "Metropoll'ün Aralık 2023 araştımasına göre partilerin oy destekleri ve 14 Mayıs resmi sonuçları". twitter.com (in Turkish). 28 December 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  12. ^ "Turkey: Poll by Yöneylem from 02.12.2023". politpro.eu (in Turkish). Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  13. ^ "#AreaAraştırma Türkiye Siyasi Durum Araştırması/ Kasım 2023 raporumuzdan". twitter.com (in Turkish). 4 December 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  14. ^ "İSTANBUL DEĞIŞIYOR, CHP DEĞIŞEMIYOR: TÜRK HALKININ YÜZDE 62,3'Ü ÖZGÜR ÖZEL'IN PARTIYI DEĞIŞTIREMEYECEĞINI DÜŞÜNÜYOR". areda.com (in Turkish). 19 December 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  15. ^ "Ivem Araştırma Aralık 2023 Türkiye Siyasi Gündem Araştırma raporu". twitter.com (in Turkish). 7 December 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  16. ^ "28 Mayıs seçimlerini bilen tek firma açıkladı... MHP oylarında büyük artış!". adanamedyahaber.com (in Turkish). 20 November 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  17. ^ "Yöneylem Araştırma Direktörü Derya Kömürcü: Kurultayın heyecan yarattığı açık". youtube.com (in Turkish). 18 November 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  18. ^ "Asal Araştırma'dan genel seçim anketi: İşte partilerin oy oranları". gercekgundem.com (in Turkish). 16 October 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  19. ^ "Ağustos Ayı Türkiye Gümdem Araştırması". twitter.com (in Turkish). 6 September 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  20. ^ "MART 2024 YEREL SEÇİMLERİ "SEÇMEN EĞİLİMLERİ"". twitter.com (in Turkish). 15 August 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  21. ^ "Temmuz ayı gündem araştırması". twitter.com (in Turkish). 1 August 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  22. ^ ""Bu Pazar Milletvekili Seçimi Olsa"". twitter.com (in Turkish). 10 August 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  23. ^ "Saadet ve Gelecek partileri Meclis'te grup kuracak, yerel seçimde işbirliği yapacak: DEVA Partisi neden çekildi?". bbc.com (in Turkish). 6 July 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  24. ^ "Haziran ayı Türkiye geneli anket sonucu(6.100) seçmen". twitter.com (in Turkish). 2 July 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  25. ^ "Seçimden sonra yapılan Haziran 2022 araştırmasında partilerin oy desteği". twitter.com (in Turkish). 6 July 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  26. ^ "Millet İttifakı bitti! İYİ Partili Poyraz ve Paçacı'dan açıklama: Seçim bitti, ittifak tamamlandı". hurriyet.com.tr (in Turkish). 1 June 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  27. ^ "YEREL SEÇİMLER/ADANA". twitter.com (in Turkish). 15 September 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  28. ^ "#AreaAraştırma Ankara Büyükşehir Araştırması/ 8-9 Şubat 2024 raporumuzdan". twitter.com (in Turkish). 10 February 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  29. ^ "#AreaAraştırma Ankara Büyükşehir Araştırması/ 22-23 Ocak 2024 raporumuzdan". twitter.com (in Turkish). 24 January 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  30. ^ "KASIM AYI-2.000 SEÇMEN(%54 erkek-%46kadın)-YÜZYÜZE GÖRÜŞME METODU İLE ANKARA ANKET SONUCU". twitter.com (in Turkish). 24 November 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  31. ^ "Bu Pazar Ankara Büyükşehir Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimi Olsa Oyunuzu Hangi Partiye Verirsiniz?". twitter.com (in Turkish). 25 November 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  32. ^ "2024 YEREL SEÇİMLERİ/ANKARA". twitter.com (in Turkish). 23 October 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  33. ^ ""Bu Pazar Ankara Büyükşehir Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimi Olsa"". twitter.com (in Turkish). 27 July 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  34. ^ "8-13 Temmuz İstanbul il geneli Büyükşehir belediyesi seçim anketi". twitter.com (in Turkish). 15 July 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  35. ^ "2024 Mart ayında yapılması planlanan yerel seçimlerde Antalya Büyükşehir Belediye Başkanlığı için hangi partiye oyunuzu vereceksiniz?". twitter.com (in Turkish). 18 September 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  36. ^ "2024 YEREL SEÇİMLERİ/ESKİŞEHİR". twitter.com (in Turkish). 23 October 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  37. ^ "GÜMÜŞHANE ANKET SONUCU-ARALIK AYI-YÜZ YÜZE GÖRÜŞME-1.500 SEÇMEN(%55,9 erkek-%44,1 kadın)". twitter.com (in Turkish). 5 December 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  38. ^ "BU PAZAR HATAY'DA YEREL SEÇİM OLSA PARTİLERİN OY ORANLARI". twitter.com (in Turkish). 25 September 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  39. ^ "Voting support of parties according to Metropoll's February 2024 Research". twitter.com (in Turkish). 3 March 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  40. ^ "İSTANBUL ARAŞTIRMASI". twitter.com (in Turkish). 15 February 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  41. ^ "Metropoll'ün Aralık 2023 araştımasına göre partilerin oy destekleri ve 14 Mayıs resmi sonuçları". twitter.com (in Turkish). 28 December 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  42. ^ "Bu pazar günü İstanbul Büyükşehir Belediye Başkanlığı seçimi olsa?". twitter.com (in Turkish). 16 September 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  43. ^ ""Bu Pazar İstanbul Büyükşehir Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimi Olsa"". twitter.com (in Turkish). 10 July 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  44. ^ "2024 YEREL SEÇİMLERİ/İZMİR". twitter.com (in Turkish). 23 October 2023. Retrieved 25 March 2024.
  45. ^ "2024 Mart ayında yapılması planlanan yerel seçimlerde Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Başkanlığı için hangi partiye oyunuzu vereceksiniz?". twitter.com (in Turkish). 18 September 2023. Retrieved 5 January 2024.
  46. ^ "Seçime son 7 gün kala Samsunda son durum Büyükşehir için şu şekilde". twitter.com (in Turkish). 23 March 2024. Retrieved 25 March 2024.