2023 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provincial election
![]() | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
115 out of 145 seats in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly[a] 73 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
![]() Map of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa with Provincial Assembly constituencies | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Provincial elections are scheduled to be held in the Pakistani province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa on 28 May 2023 to elect a new provincial legislature.
Electoral system[edit]
The 145 seats of the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly consist of 115 general seats, whose members are elected by the first-past-the-postvoting system through single-member constituencies. 26 seats are reserved for women and 8 seats are reserved for non-Muslims. The members on these seats are elected through proportional representation based on the total number of general seats secured by each political party.
Background[edit]
In the 2018 election, the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) won a landslide victory in the province by securing a two-thirds majority in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly. The PTI became the only party in the province’s history to return to government with more seats after completing a 5-year term.[1][2]
Before the 2018 elections, Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F) (JUI-F) and Jamaat-e-Islami (JI) restored their electoral alliance, the Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal, to counter the PTI’s support but failed to make gains and in fact lost even more seats.[3][4]
The Pashtun nationalist and leftist Awami National Party (ANP) also failed to counter the PTI, but slightly increased their share of seats.
The conservative Pakistan Muslim league (N) (PML-N) once the most popular party in the Hazara Division, also faced defeat and was nearly wiped out from the region.
Due to circumstances arising after the successful motion of no confidence against Prime Minister Imran Khan, a motion of no confidence was also filed to remove Chief Minister Mahmood Khan from office. The motion was rejected, as 88 votes were cast against the motion to just 2 in favor.[5]
On June 26, 2022, the PTI flipped the PK-7 (Swat-VI) constituency in a by-election, winning by a margin of 4,341 votes and defeated the ANP, which enjoyed the support of the Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM), particularly the JUI(F) and PML(N).[6]
On 17 January 2023, Chief Minister Khan sent a letter to Governor Haji Ghulam Ali, advising him to dissolve the Provincial Assembly. Ali accepted the advice the next day. Elections must be conducted within 90 days of the dissolution, meaning by or before 18 April 2023.[7][8]
After two days of talks, on 20 January 2023, the government and opposition agreed on appointing Muhammad Azam Khan, a former bureaucrat, as the caretaker Chief Minister.[9]
After a month of delay from Governor Ali and the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP), President Arif Alvi decided to unilaterally appoint 9 April 2023 as the date for the provincial election.[10]
On 1 March 2023, in a 3-2 split verdict, the Supreme Court ruled that since Governor Ali had dissolved the Assembly, he was "in breach of his constitutional duty" by not appointing an election date and should immediately do so, after consultation with the ECP. As a consequence, the date appointed by President Alvi was set aside.[11]
Two weeks after the verdict, on 15 March 2023, Governor Ali had fixed the date for the provincial election to be 28 May 2023.[12]
Opinion polls[edit]
Polling firm | Last date
of polling |
Link | PTI | MMA | ANP | PML(N) | PPP | Other | Ind. | Lead | Sample
size |
Undecideds &
Non-voters |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PA | 18 January 2023 | The Provincial Assembly is dissolved and a snap election is called. | ||||||||||
KPK By-elections | 16 October 2022 | 53.3% | 41.9% | 4.8% | 11.4% | 445,604 | N/A | |||||
PK-7 By-election | 26 June 2022 | [13] | 52% | 44% | 2% | 8% | 33,573 | N/A | ||||
NA-33 By Election | 17 April 2022 | 48.8% | 42.8% | 8.4% | 6% | 43,148 | N/A | |||||
NA | 11-12 April 2022 | Imran Khan is removed from office in a no-confidence motion | ||||||||||
IPOR (IRI) | 21 March 2022 | 38% | 23% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 15% | ~600 | N/A | ||
Gallup Pakistan | 31 January 2022 | 44% | 13% | 6% | 21% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 23% | ~970 | 28% | |
IPOR (IRI) | 9 January 2022 | 44% | 17% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 27% | 641 | N/A | ||
IPOR (IRI) | 11 November 2020 | 34% | 8% | 3% | 12% | 4% | 26% | 21% | 331 | N/A | ||
2018 Elections | 25 July 2018 | ECP | 39.3% | 18.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 6,611,287 | N/A |
Results[edit]
Result by Party[edit]
Party | Popular vote | Seats | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
General | Reserved | Total | +/− | |||||||
Votes | % | ±pp | Contested | Won | Women | Non-Muslims | ||||
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf | ||||||||||
Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F) | ||||||||||
Awami National Party | ||||||||||
Jamaat-e-Islami Pakistan | ||||||||||
Pakistan Muslim League (N) | ||||||||||
Pakistan People's Party | ||||||||||
Pakistan Muslim League (Q) | ||||||||||
Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan | ||||||||||
Independents | ||||||||||
Others | ||||||||||
Total | 100% | 115 | 26 | 4 | 145 | |||||
Valid votes | ||||||||||
Invalid votes | ||||||||||
Votes cast/ turnout | ||||||||||
Abstentions | ||||||||||
Registered voters |
Results by division[edit]
Division | Seats | PTI | JUI(F) | ANP | JI | PML(N) | PPP | PML(Q) | IND | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malakand | 27 | |||||||||
Hazara | 18 | |||||||||
Mardan | 13 | |||||||||
Peshawar | 29 | |||||||||
Kohat | 11 | |||||||||
Bannu | 9 | |||||||||
Dera Ismail Khan | 8 | |||||||||
Total | 115 |
Results by district[edit]
Division | District | Seats | PTI | JUI(F) | ANP | JI | PML(N) | PPP | PML(Q) | IND | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malakand | Upper Chitral | 1 | |||||||||
Lower Chitral | 1 | ||||||||||
Swat | 7 | ||||||||||
Upper Dir | 3 | ||||||||||
Lower Dir | 5 | ||||||||||
Bajaur | 3 | ||||||||||
Malakand | 2 | ||||||||||
Buner | 3 | ||||||||||
Shangla | 2 | ||||||||||
Hazara | Upper Kohistan | 1 | |||||||||
Lower Kohistan | 1 | ||||||||||
Kolai-Palas | 1 | ||||||||||
Battagram | 2 | ||||||||||
Mansehra | 5 | ||||||||||
Torghar | 1 | ||||||||||
Abbottabad | 4 | ||||||||||
Haripur | 3 | ||||||||||
Mardan | Swabi | 5 | |||||||||
Mardan | 8 | ||||||||||
Peshawar | Charsadda | 5 | |||||||||
Mohmand | 2 | ||||||||||
Khyber | 3 | ||||||||||
Peshawar | 14 | ||||||||||
Nowshera | 5 | ||||||||||
Kohat | Kohat | 4 | |||||||||
Hangu | 2 | ||||||||||
Orakzai | 1 | ||||||||||
Kurram | 2 | ||||||||||
Karak | 2 | ||||||||||
Bannu | Bannu | 4 | |||||||||
North Waziristan | 2 | ||||||||||
Lakki Marwat | 3 | ||||||||||
Dera Ismail Khan | Tank | 1 | |||||||||
Lower South Waziristan | 1 | ||||||||||
Upper South Waziristan | 1 | ||||||||||
Dera Ismail Khan | 5 | ||||||||||
Total | 115 |
Results by constituency[edit]
See also[edit]
Notes[edit]
- ^ 26 seats are reserved for Women and 8 are reserved for Non-Muslims filled through Proportional representation
- ^ JUI (F) did not contest the 2018 elections, as they were part of an electoral alliance called Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal
References[edit]
- ^ "PTI votes surged by 120% in general elections 2018". The Express Tribune. 2018-07-28. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ "PTI remains on top with 65 PA seats in KP". The Nation. 2018-07-26. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ "Changing trends in religious vote". The Nation. 2018-08-12. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ "Religious parties announce restoration of Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal". www.geo.tv. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ "K-P Assembly reposes trust in CM Mahmood". The Express Tribune. 2022-04-11. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ "PTI defeats joint opp in PK-7 Swat by-poll". The Express Tribune. 2022-06-26. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
- ^ Hayat, Arif (17 January 2023). "CM Mahmood sends summary for dissolution of KP Assembly to governor". DAWN News. Retrieved 17 January 2023.
- ^ Hayat, Arif (18 January 2023). "KP Assembly dissolved as governor approves CM Mahmood's summary". DAWN News. Retrieved 18 January 2023.
- ^ Hayat, Arif (20 January 2023). "KP govt, opposition pick Azam Khan as caretaker CM". DAWN News. Retrieved 20 January 2023.
- ^ Siddiqui, Naveed (20 February 2023). "President Alvi unilaterally announces April 9 as Punjab, KP election date". DAWN News. Retrieved 20 February 2023.
- ^ Bhatti, Haseeb; Iqbal, Nasir (1 March 2023). "Elections in Punjab, KP to be held in 90 days, rules SC in 3-2 verdict". DAWN News.
- ^ Khan, Iftikhar (15 March 2023). "Governor fixes May 28 for KP assembly polls". DAWN News. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
- ^ "PK-7 Bye Election" (PDF). FAFEN.