2023 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provincial election

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2023 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provincial election

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115 out of 145 seats in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly[a]
73 seats needed for a majority
  Flag of the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf.svg Flag of the Jamiat Ulema-e Islam.svg Aimal wali khan.jpg
Leader Mahmood Khan Akram Khan Durrani Aimal Wali Khan
Party PTI JUI (F) ANP
Leader since 2018 2018 2019
Leader's seat Swat-VI Bannu-IV
Last election 32.32%, 97 seats Did not contest[b] 12.19%, 9 seats
Current seats 95 3 11
Seats needed Steady Increase 70 Increase 62

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly Election 2023.png
Map of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa with Provincial Assembly constituencies

Incumbent Chief Minister

Mahmood Khan
PTI



Provincial elections are scheduled to be held in the Pakistani province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa on 28 May 2023 to elect a new provincial legislature.

Electoral system[edit]

The 145 seats of the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly consist of 115 general seats, whose members are elected by the first-past-the-postvoting system through single-member constituencies. 26 seats are reserved for women and 8 seats are reserved for non-Muslims. The members on these seats are elected through proportional representation based on the total number of general seats secured by each political party.

Background[edit]

In the 2018 election, the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) won a landslide victory in the province by securing a two-thirds majority in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Assembly. The PTI became the only party in the province’s history to return to government with more seats after completing a 5-year term.[1][2]

Before the 2018 elections, Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F) (JUI-F) and Jamaat-e-Islami (JI) restored their electoral alliance, the Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal, to counter the PTI’s support but failed to make gains and in fact lost even more seats.[3][4]

The Pashtun nationalist and leftist Awami National Party (ANP) also failed to counter the PTI, but slightly increased their share of seats.

The conservative Pakistan Muslim league (N) (PML-N) once the most popular party in the Hazara Division, also faced defeat and was nearly wiped out from the region.

Due to circumstances arising after the successful motion of no confidence against Prime Minister Imran Khan, a motion of no confidence was also filed to remove Chief Minister Mahmood Khan from office. The motion was rejected, as 88 votes were cast against the motion to just 2 in favor.[5]

On June 26, 2022, the PTI flipped the PK-7 (Swat-VI) constituency in a by-election, winning by a margin of 4,341 votes and defeated the ANP, which enjoyed the support of the Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM), particularly the JUI(F) and PML(N).[6]

On 17 January 2023, Chief Minister Khan sent a letter to Governor Haji Ghulam Ali, advising him to dissolve the Provincial Assembly. Ali accepted the advice the next day. Elections must be conducted within 90 days of the dissolution, meaning by or before 18 April 2023.[7][8]

After two days of talks, on 20 January 2023, the government and opposition agreed on appointing Muhammad Azam Khan, a former bureaucrat, as the caretaker Chief Minister.[9]

After a month of delay from Governor Ali and the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP), President Arif Alvi decided to unilaterally appoint 9 April 2023 as the date for the provincial election.[10]

On 1 March 2023, in a 3-2 split verdict, the Supreme Court ruled that since Governor Ali had dissolved the Assembly, he was "in breach of his constitutional duty" by not appointing an election date and should immediately do so, after consultation with the ECP. As a consequence, the date appointed by President Alvi was set aside.[11]

Two weeks after the verdict, on 15 March 2023, Governor Ali had fixed the date for the provincial election to be 28 May 2023.[12]

Opinion polls[edit]

Polling firm Last date

of polling

Link PTI MMA ANP PML(N) PPP Other Ind. Lead Sample

size

Undecideds &

Non-voters

PA 18 January 2023 The Provincial Assembly is dissolved and a snap election is called.
KPK By-elections 16 October 2022 53.3% 41.9% 4.8% 11.4% 445,604 N/A
PK-7 By-election 26 June 2022 [13] 52% 44% 2% 8% 33,573 N/A
NA-33 By Election 17 April 2022 48.8% 42.8% 8.4% 6% 43,148 N/A
NA 11-12 April 2022 Imran Khan is removed from office in a no-confidence motion
IPOR (IRI) 21 March 2022 PDF 38% 23% 8% 13% 8% 10% 15% ~600 N/A
Gallup Pakistan 31 January 2022 PDF 44% 13% 6% 21% 8% 7% 1% 23% ~970 28%
IPOR (IRI) 9 January 2022 PDF 44% 17% 11% 11% 7% 10% 27% 641 N/A
IPOR (IRI) 11 November 2020 PDF 34% 8% 3% 12% 4% 26% 21% 331 N/A
2018 Elections 25 July 2018 ECP 39.3% 18.9% 9.3% 10.7% 7.5% 3.5% 10.8% 20.4% 6,611,287 N/A

Results[edit]

Result by Party[edit]

Party Popular vote Seats
General Reserved Total +/−
Votes % ±pp Contested Won Women Non-Muslims
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf
Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F)
Awami National Party
Jamaat-e-Islami Pakistan
Pakistan Muslim League (N)
Pakistan People's Party
Pakistan Muslim League (Q)
Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan
Independents
Others
Total 100% 115 26 4 145
Valid votes
Invalid votes
Votes cast/ turnout
Abstentions
Registered voters

Results by division[edit]

Division Seats PTI JUI(F) ANP JI PML(N) PPP PML(Q) IND Others
Malakand 27
Hazara 18
Mardan 13
Peshawar 29
Kohat 11
Bannu 9
Dera Ismail Khan 8
Total 115

Results by district[edit]

Division District Seats PTI JUI(F) ANP JI PML(N) PPP PML(Q) IND Others
Malakand Upper Chitral 1
Lower Chitral 1
Swat 7
Upper Dir 3
Lower Dir 5
Bajaur 3
Malakand 2
Buner 3
Shangla 2
Hazara Upper Kohistan 1
Lower Kohistan 1
Kolai-Palas 1
Battagram 2
Mansehra 5
Torghar 1
Abbottabad 4
Haripur 3
Mardan Swabi 5
Mardan 8
Peshawar Charsadda 5
Mohmand 2
Khyber 3
Peshawar 14
Nowshera 5
Kohat Kohat 4
Hangu 2
Orakzai 1
Kurram 2
Karak 2
Bannu Bannu 4
North Waziristan 2
Lakki Marwat 3
Dera Ismail Khan Tank 1
Lower South Waziristan 1
Upper South Waziristan 1
Dera Ismail Khan 5
Total 115

Results by constituency[edit]

District Constituency Winner Runner Up Margin
No. Name Candidate Party Votes % Candidate Party Votes %
Upper Chitral 1 Upper Chitral
Lower Chitral 2 Lower Chitral
Swat 3 Swat-I
4 Swat-II
5 Swat-III
6 Swat-IV
7 Swat-V
8 Swat-VI
9 Swat-VII
Upper Dir 10 Upper Dir-I
11 Upper Dir-II
12 Upper Dir-III
Lower Dir 13 Lower Dir-I
14 Lower Dir-II
15 Lower Dir-III
16 Lower Dir-IV
17 Lower Dir-V
Bajaur 18 Bajaur-I
19 Bajaur-II
20 Bajaur-III
Malakand 21 Malakand-I
22 Malakand-II
Buner 23 Buner-I
24 Buner-II
25 Buner-III
Shangla 26 Shangla-I
27 Shangla-II
Upper Kohistan 28 Upper Kohistan
Lower Kohistan 29 Lower Kohistan
Kolai-Palas 30 Kolai Palas
Battagram 31 Battagram-I
32 Battagram-II
Mansehra 33 Mansehra-I
34 Mansehra-II
35 Mansehra-III
36 Mansehra-IV
37 Mansehra-V
Torghar 38 Torghar
Abbottabad 39 Abbottabad-I
40 Abbottabad-II
41 Abbottabad-III
42 Abbottabad-IV
Haripur 43 Haripur-I
44 Haripur-II
45 Haripur-III
Swabi 46 Swabi-I
47 Swabi-II
48 Swabi-III
49 Swabi-IV
50 Swabi-V
Mardan 51 Mardan-I
52 Mardan-II
53 Mardan-III
54 Mardan-IV
55 Mardan-V
56 Mardan-VI
57 Mardan-VII
58 Mardan-VIII
Charsadda 59 Charsadda-I
60 Charsadda-II
61 Charsadda-III
62 Charsadda-IV
63 Charsadda-V
Mohmand 64 Mohmand-I
65 Mohmand-II
Khyber 66 Khyber-I
67 Khyber-II
68 Khyber-III
Peshawar 69 Peshawar-I
70 Peshawar-II
71 Peshawar-III
72 Peshawar-IV
73 Peshawar-V
74 Peshawar-VI
75 Peshawar-VII
76 Peshawar-VIII
77 Peshawar-IX
78 Peshawar-X
79 Peshawar-XI
80 Peshawar-XII
81 Peshawar-XIII
82 Peshawar-XIV
Nowshera 83 Nowshera-I
84 Nowshera-II
85 Nowshera-III
86 Nowshera-IV
87 Nowshera-V
Kohat 88 Kohat-I
89 Kohat-II
90 Kohat-III
91 Kohat-IV
Hangu 92 Hangu-I
93 Hangu-II
Orakzai 94 Orakzai
Kurram 95 Kurram-I
96 Kurram-II
Karak 97 Karak-I
98 Karak-II
Bannu 99 Bannu-I
100 Bannu-II
101 Bannu-III
102 Bannu-IV
North Waziristan 103 North Waziristan-I
104 North Waziristan-II
Lakki Marwat 105 Lakki Marwat-I
106 Lakki Marwat-II
107 Lakki Marwat-III
Tank 108 Tank
Lower South Waziristan 109 Lower South Waziristan
Upper South Waziristan 110 Upper South Waziristan
Dera Ismail Khan 111 Dera Ismail Khan-I
112 Dera Ismail Khan-II
113 Dera Ismail Khan-III
114 Dera Ismail Khan-IV
115 Dera Ismail Khan-V

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ 26 seats are reserved for Women and 8 are reserved for Non-Muslims filled through Proportional representation
  2. ^ JUI (F) did not contest the 2018 elections, as they were part of an electoral alliance called Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal

References[edit]

  1. ^ "PTI votes surged by 120% in general elections 2018". The Express Tribune. 2018-07-28. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  2. ^ "PTI remains on top with 65 PA seats in KP". The Nation. 2018-07-26. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  3. ^ "Changing trends in religious vote". The Nation. 2018-08-12. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  4. ^ "Religious parties announce restoration of Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal". www.geo.tv. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  5. ^ "K-P Assembly reposes trust in CM Mahmood". The Express Tribune. 2022-04-11. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  6. ^ "PTI defeats joint opp in PK-7 Swat by-poll". The Express Tribune. 2022-06-26. Retrieved 2022-09-26.
  7. ^ Hayat, Arif (17 January 2023). "CM Mahmood sends summary for dissolution of KP Assembly to governor". DAWN News. Retrieved 17 January 2023.
  8. ^ Hayat, Arif (18 January 2023). "KP Assembly dissolved as governor approves CM Mahmood's summary". DAWN News. Retrieved 18 January 2023.
  9. ^ Hayat, Arif (20 January 2023). "KP govt, opposition pick Azam Khan as caretaker CM". DAWN News. Retrieved 20 January 2023.
  10. ^ Siddiqui, Naveed (20 February 2023). "President Alvi unilaterally announces April 9 as Punjab, KP election date". DAWN News. Retrieved 20 February 2023.
  11. ^ Bhatti, Haseeb; Iqbal, Nasir (1 March 2023). "Elections in Punjab, KP to be held in 90 days, rules SC in 3-2 verdict". DAWN News.
  12. ^ Khan, Iftikhar (15 March 2023). "Governor fixes May 28 for KP assembly polls". DAWN News. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  13. ^ "PK-7 Bye Election" (PDF). FAFEN.